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CONTENTS

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Engman, Lewis, Chairman, Federal Trade Commission__.

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Miller, James C., III, senior staff economist, Council of Economic Ad-
visers

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Prepared statement of Gary L. Seevers, member, Council of Economic
Advisers, and Mr. Miller----

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EXHIBITS

Income characteristics of adults who have flown on regular passenger airline

Air Transport Association prepared exhibits :

Example of connecting and through-flight complex, eastbound_
Example of connecting and through-flight complex, westbound.
Monetary value of travel by air vs. other modes___

Dollar value of time savings due to air travel rather than other modes
of travel, Birmingham, Ala., to Miami, Fla., 1970_2_
Average fare per passenger mile, domestic scheduled services, trunk air-
lines (1938 dollars).

Changes in air fares compared with other U.S. products and services__
Average fare per passenger mile (indexed to constant 1938 dollars) __
Average air freight rates per ton mile, domestic operations, U.S. sched-
uled airlines (1940 constant dollars) ---

Distribution of trunk airlines scheduled coach fares, year ended Sept.
30, 1974, 48-state data___

1974 load factors, nonstop services-Boston-Detroit market_ Distribution of airline passenger traffic by number of city-pairs (year ended June 1974)__.

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Percent of transported passengers who are not through or connecting,
by flight distances (for city-pairs with nonstop service).
ATA airline cost index, U.S. trunks and local service carriers, 3d quar-
ter, 1974___

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Air Transport Association, "The Consequences of Deregulation," (Apr. 25, 1974)

U.S. scheduled airline 1973 routes (city-pairs) risking loss of service as a consequence of deregulation (in order from least to most unprofitable)

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Flight/segment load-factor distribution, U.S.-certificated airlines, 48state services, Aug. 1973___

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Air Transport Association, letter from George James, senior vice president
of economics and finance, to Senator Edward M. Kennedy, dated May 8,
1975, replying to Senator Kennedy's letter of May 2, 1975__.
Council of Economic Advisers, letter from Alan Greenspan, chairman, to
Senator Edward M. Kennedy, dated May 1, 1975, evaluating the ATA
study, "Consequence of Deregulation".

380

Council on Wage and Price Stability, letter from Albert Rees, director, to Senator Edward M. Kennedy, dated May 1, 1975, evaluating the ATA study, "Consequences of Deregulation”.

Douglas, George W., professor of economics, University of Texas, prepared statement

Drake, John W., professor of air transportation, School of Aeronautics and
Astronautics, Purdue University, letter to Senator Edward M. Kennedy,
dated May 15, 1975, evaluating the ATA study, "Consequences of Deregu-
lation"

Kennedy, Senator Edward M., letter to George W. James, senior vice presi-
dent of economics and finance, Air Transport Association, dated Feb. 7,
1975, requesting a study on the consequences of deregulation___.
Kennedy, Senator Edward M., letter to George W. James, senior vice
president of economics and finance, Air Transport Association, dated
May 2, 1975, commenting on the ATA's "Consequences of Deregulation”-
Kennedy, Senator Edward M., sample letter requesting independent eval-
uations of the ATA study, "Consequences of Deregulation".
Keeler, Theodore E., assistant professor of economics, University of Cali-
fornia at Berkeley, letter to Senator Edward M. Kennedy, dated June 4,
1975, evaluating the ATA study, "Consequences of Deregulation".
Peltzman, Sam, professor of business economics, University of Chicago,
letter to Senator Edward M. Kennedy, dated May 5, 1975, evaluating the
ATA study, "Consequences of Deregulation".

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Sherman, Roger, professor of economics, University of Virginia, letter to Senator Edward M. Kennedy, dated May 12, 1975, evaluating the ATA study, "Consequences of Deregulation".

Whinston, Andrew, professor of economics, management and computer science, letter to Senator Edward M. Kennedy, dated May 9, 1975, evaluating the ATA study, "Consequences of Deregulation"

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FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 14, 1975

TESTIMONY

Panel of California intrastate airlines: Lawrence A. Guske, assistant controller, Pacific Southwest Airlines; and Robert W. Clifford, president, Air California__

444

Prepared statement of Mr. Guske_

449

Prepared statement of Mr. Clifford

450

Prepared statement of Dr. Jordan_.

Prepared statement of Dr. Summerfield_.

Panel of economists: William A. Jordan, professor of managerial economics, York University; and John R. Summerfield, president, Summerfield Associates

O'Melia, Richard J., Acting Chairman, Civil Aeronautics Board_.

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Prepared statement

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Panel of interstate airlines: Morton Ehrlich, vice president for planning
and chief economist, Eastern Airlines; Randall Malin, vice president of
market planning, American Airlines; and Morris Shipley, vice president
of governmental affairs, Delta Air Lines_.
Prepared statement of Dr. Ehrlich_

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Murphy, Charles, executive director, Texas Aeronautics Commission___
Prepared statement

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EXHIBITS

American Airlines, prepared exhibits:

Short-haul operating costs and earnings of American Airlines, Boston-
Washington and New York-Washington routes__

522

Short-haul operating costs and earnings of American Airlines, Boston-
Washington and New York-Washington, offering PSA-type service__

522

Civil Aeronautics Board, prepared exhibits:

Comparison of fare rates for CAB-regulated and non-CAB-regulated carriers in selected markets, Jan. 1975.

502

Domestic Passenger Fare Investigation-Phase 7 (excerpts), Apr. 1971 --

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Domestic Passenger Fare Investigation-Phase 9 (excerpts), Mar. 1974

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General Passenger Fare Investigation, Nov. 1960 (excerpts). Jordan, William A., prepared exhibits:

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PSA's coach fares compared with CAB-authorized 1st class fares for three major California city-pairs, 1949__.

467

PSA's coach fares compared with CAB-authorized coach fares for three major California city-pairs, 1965.

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PSA's coach fares compared with CAB-authorized coach fares
for three major California city-pairs, Jan. 29, 1975.
Increases in coach fares from late 1969 to early 1975; PSA compared
with CAB-authorized fares for three major California city-pairs---
Southwest's coach fares compared with CAB-authorized coach fares
for three major Texas city-pairs, Nov. 15, 1974___
Comparison of PSA, CAB-authorized and Canadian coach fares, Los
Angeles-San Francisco vs. Montreal-Toronto, June 1965 and Jan. 29,
Comparison of competitive bid rates with CAB-authorized rates, cate-
gory B international operations, Aug. 4, 1959 vs. Feb. 10, 1961----

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Jordan, William A., prepared exhibits-Continued

Average annual output per employe (PSA compared with total trunk carriers and Western Air Lines), 1965_-_.

One-way coach prices for Dallas-Houston and Dallas-San Antonio service: Southwest Airlines, Braniff Airways, and Texas International Airlines, June 1971-Dec. 1974___

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Top 100 origin-destination city-pairs in order of passenger rank, CABcertificated and California/Texas intrastate airlines (scheduled service, 1972).

486

Summerfield, John R., prepared exhibits:

Dollar cost saved by PSA due to exclusively intra-California service__ Summerfield, John R., president, Summerfieid Associates, letter to subcommittee, dated Feb. 28, 1975:

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Response to the testimony of Dr. Jordan__.

490

Response to tentative subcommittee staff memorandum concerning intrastate/interstate fare comparison__.

515

Texas Aeronautics Commission, prepared exhibits:

Southwest Airline service awakened sleeping air travel markets in
Texas, 1971-1972__

532

Dallas-Houston market: average daily local passengers carried in each direction, by carrier, 1967–73_. Subcommittee staff, interstate/intrastate fare comparison: tentative staff conclusions

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Comparison of intrastate and interstate routes of similar distances,
Feb. 1975___

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TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 18, 1975
TESTIMONY

Panel of airlines: William A. Hardenstine, senior vice president-sales,
World Airways; Raymond J. Rasenberger, counsel, North Central Air-
lines; Harvey J. Wexler, senior vice president, Continental Airlines ;
Edwin I. Colodny, executive vice president, marketing and legal affairs,
Allegheny Airlines; Andrew M. DeVoursney, group vice president, fi-
nance and planning, United Air Lines; and Stuart G. Tipton, senior vice
president, Federal affairs, Pan American World Airways_--
Prepared statement of Mr. Hardenstine____
Prepared statement of Mr. Rasenberger_.

Prepared statement of Mr. Wexler---.

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Civil Aeronautics Board: Richard J. O'Melia, Acting Chairman; G. Joseph
Minetti, Member, and Lee R West, Member_.-
Prepared statement of Mr. O'Melia__

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Panel of government officials: Donald I. Baker, Deputy Assistant Attorney
General, Antitrust Division, U.S. Department of Justice; and William
A. Kutzke, Counsel, U.S. Department of Transportation__

664

Prepared statement of Mr. Baker---

679

Prepared statement of John W. Snow, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Policy, Plans, and International Affairs, U.S. Department of Transportation (submitted by Mr. Kutzke).

688

Gagnon, James, chairman, ad hoc committee on air service, Airport
Operators Council International__

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Prepared statement__

704

EXHIBITS

Allegheny Airlines prepared exhibits:

50 percent of Allegheny's passengers are generated in only 11 percent of the city-pairs it serves__

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29 percent of Allegheny's passengers on its Pittsburgh-Philadelphia nonstop flights come from other than the local market, July 1974

627

51 percent of Allegheny's passengers on its Chicago-Pittsburgh nonstop flights come from other than the local market, July 1974---

628

Airport Operators Council International, prepared exhibits:

Flowchart of the CAB's route hearing process as proposed by the Page CAB's staff_

699

Samples of high-load factor operations, 1973 and 1974_
Profit leverage created by increased load factor----

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Pacific Southwest Airlines' load factor history, 1967 to fiscal year 1972

728

Airport Operators Council International, letter from Donald G. Shay, president, to Senator Kennedy, dated March 4, 1975, clarifying the position of the Board of Directors of AOCI__.

720

Civil Aeronautics Board, material inserted in the record for clarification: 14 C.F.R. sec. 399.60 (1974), standards for determining priorities of hearing

650

Bureau of Operating Rights, Service to Small Communities (March 1972), excerpt_-_

673

Continental Airlines, prepared exhibits:

Comparative U.S. and foreign coach fares-

587

Continental Airlines, James L. Mitchell, vice president for regulatory proceedings, prepared statement (March 31, 1975), in response to the testimony of Dr. Jordan on February 14, 1975_

587

California intrastate air service, 1946-65, by carrier and by city-
Pacific Southwest Airlines' route structure, June 1965_-

593

Pacific Southwest Airlines and Air California, route structure, 1975__ Relationship of international to system revenues and profit-selected trunks, 1973__

Continental Airlines, prepared statement in response to the prepared
statement of Dr. Jordan of April 21, 1975_-_.
International Air Transport Association, Knut Hammarskjold, director
general, address to the world conference on tourism and air transport
(Feb. 10, 1975), excerpts----.
Jordan, William A., professor of managerial economics, York University,
prepared statement (April 21, 1975) in response to the prepared state-
ment by Mr. Mitchell of Continental Airlines (March 31, 1975)---.
Maryland Department of Transportation, Robert J. Aaronson, State Avia-
tion Administrator, prepared statement.......

Dulles International Airport's primary and secondary service areas
within metropolitan Baltimore/Washington_-_-
Estimated 1975 Baltimore/Washington passengers using Baltimore/
Washington airport under adequate nonstop service conditions
(top 50 markets) __

Used and unused nonstop authority in Baltimore/Washington's top
50 markets__.

Puerto Rico, Rafael Hernandez-Colon, Governor, prepared statement_.
New York-San Juan market, load factors, 1968-74----

Increases in lowest regular New York-San Juan fares and proposed
1975 fares.

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Comparison of New York-San Juan fares with other vacation markets,
Feb. 1975----

749

Comparison of New York-San Juan yields with other vacation mar-
kets, Feb. 1975.

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Airline unadjusted results, mainland-Puerto Rico/Virgin Islands mar-
kets, year ended June 30, 1974.

751

Pan American's own projections indicate that passenger fare increases
ranging from 27 to 67 percent would be required at Pan American's
high expense and investment levels to achieve a 12 percent rate of
return

752

Comparative indirect expenses levels, fiscal 1974 vs. calendar 1971--United Air Lines, letter from Andrew De Voursney, group president of finance and planning, to Senator Kennedy, dated Feb. 28, 1975, concerning the effect of deregulation upon small-town service_-_. United Air Lines, letter from William R. Nesbit, corporate economist, to the subcommittee, dated Apr. 29, 1975, concerning the effect of deregulation upon small-town service..

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